The rapid proliferation and growing sophistication of aerospace weapons鈥攔ockets, missiles, and drones鈥攈ave altered the landscape of warfare. The influence of these weapons on the battlefield is felt profoundly, yet the mechanism of provocation and coercion by which these weapons alter the will of the adversary is poorly understood.听
In his new book, 鈥,鈥 Jaganath Sankaran contends that it is not what aerospace weapons physically do but what they prompt decisionmakers in target states to do in response that matters for understanding their provocative and coercive effect. Rockets, missiles, and drones weaponize fear, trigger a sense of defenselessness, and provoke an overreaction, particularly a large diversion of military effort and resources despite the inability of these weapons to meaningfully deny military capabilities. If the target state is still unable to extinguish the threat, it may be coerced to offer political concessions. 听听
On November 25, the Brookings Foreign Policy program hosted a discussion on how aerospace weapons influence decisionmakers in target states鈥攏ot just through their physical impact, but by the emotional and strategic responses they provoke, which are key to understanding their coercive effect.听
Viewers submitted questions via email to [email protected] and on Twitter/X using #BombingtoProvoke听
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Agenda
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November 25
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Moderated discussion
Jaganath Sankaran Nonresident Fellow - Foreign Policy, Strobe Talbott Center for Security, Strategy, and TechnologySarah Kreps Nonresident Senior Fellow - Foreign Policy, Strobe Talbott Center for Security, Strategy, and TechnologyModerator
Michael E. O’Hanlon Director of Research - Foreign Policy, Director - Strobe Talbott Center for Security, Strategy, and Technology, Co-Director - Africa Security Initiative, Senior Fellow - Foreign Policy, Strobe Talbott Center for Security, Strategy, and Technology, Philip H. Knight Chair in Defense and Strategy
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